导弹战术兵棋中侵彻子母弹打击机场毁伤效果裁决

基于导弹战术兵棋使用需求,运用切断点法,对侵彻子母弹打击机场毁伤效果进行了建模分析.讨论了命中概率的计算,给出了计算公式,并对打击效果裁决进行了详细的说明和分析.在此基础上,建立了打击效果裁决表.     

基于作战辅助决策系统的目标威胁评估排序模型

为提高防空武器系统对付多目标的能力,建立了基于辅助决策系统的目标威胁判断排序模型。首先简述了其理论概念,然后介绍了威胁判断排序的辅助决策系统模型,并建立了知识库,分析了空中目标威胁的因素。该模型具有较好的人机交互功能和自学习功能,可自动获取或修改知识库中的知识,能够智能地确定目标的威胁程度,为指挥员进行作战指挥提供了有效的决策工具。     

Driving experience moderates the effect of implicit versus explicit threat priming on hazard perception test

Due to the controversial evidence regarding the efficacy of threat campaigns on driving behavior, we addressed the effects of explicit vs. implicit threats. As in other areas of advertisements, we hypothesized that an implicit threat would be more effective, i.e., generate more anxiety than an explicit threat. Furthermore, we hypothesized that such effects would be moderated by driving experience: more experienced drivers when threatened will rely on driving skills and perform in a less cautious manner vs. less experienced drivers who have not yet acquired these skills, and therefore will tend to calm their fear by exercising more caution. Driving behavior in this experimental design was addressed by the Hazard Perception (HP) task. Results were as expected. Anxiety was higher under implicit vs. explicit threat. HP scores however were overall the same for both groups. Implicit priming generated less-cautious behavior in high-experienced drivers while generating more caution for less-experienced drivers. Demonstrating in a single experiment all three driving patterns following threat, namely, no change in driving behavior (whole sample), more cautious driving behavior (less-experience) and less cautious behavior (more-experience), potentially comprises an important step in resolving the aforementioned disparity concerning effects of threat campaigns on driving behavior.     

Face Threat and Facework Strategies When Family (Health) Secrets Are Revealed: A Comparison of South Korea and the United States

This study examined face threat and facework strategies when people witness family members disclosing sensitive health information to family outsiders. Korean and U.S. participants were expected to view these situations differently based on Confucian versus individualist identity and in‐group privacy norms. Korean and U.S. college samples evaluated vignettes in which health information was disclosed to family outsiders. Koreans regarded the situations as more face threatening and endorsed dominating facework in these situations to a greater extent than did Americans. The 2 cultures also showed strong similarities. Results confirmed the cultural basis of privacy expectations but contradicted some accounts of culturally based facework. Koreans did not consistently endorse indirect facework, nor did Americans show notable directness in response to privacy violations.     

一种双判决机制鲁棒数字水印

提出了一种基于双判决机制的数字水印算法。该算法利用分组移位算法进行水印置乱,并对水印信息循环编码,将载体图像进行分片以分散地嵌入多个完整水印拷贝,在水印提取阶段利用循环冗余译码判决和大数判决相结合的机制。实验结果证明,该算法具有较好的鲁棒性,能够抵抗常规图像处理。     

非对称信息条件下APT攻防博弈模型

针对目前缺少对高级持续威胁（APT）攻击理论建模分析的问题,提出了一种基于FlipIt模型的非对称信息条件下的攻防博弈模型。首先,将网络系统中的目标主机等资产抽象为目标资源节点,将攻防场景描述为攻防双方对目标资源的交替控制;然后,考虑到攻防双方在博弈中观察到的反馈信息的不对称性以及防御效果的不彻底性,给出了在防御者采取更新策略时攻防双方的收益模型及最优策略的条件,同时给出并分别证明了达到同步博弈与序贯博弈均衡条件的定理;最后通过数例分析了影响达到均衡时的策略及防御收益的因素,并比较了同步博弈均衡与序贯博弈均衡。结果表明周期策略是防御者的最优策略,并且与同步博弈均衡相比,防御者通过公布其策略达到序贯博弈均衡时的收益更大。实验结果表明所提模型能够在理论上指导应对隐蔽性APT攻击的防御策略。     

PAAIS中的态势威胁评估模型

目标态势威胁评估是PAAIS(Pilot Assistant Artificial InteHigent System)中任务规划、应急动作规划、火力分配、攻击排序的基础.通过对超视距空战威胁态势的分析,采用了TOPSIS(Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution)算法对空中作战目标进行其威胁指数计算,建立了超视距空中威胁排序模型.和其他威胁评估算法相比,方法具建模简单,计算速度快的优点,而且便于更新.仿真实验结果表明该方法对发现的目标可及时做出威胁响应,为PAAIS制定下一步方案奠定了基础.     

I Saw You in the News: Mediated and Direct Intergroup Contact Improve Outgroup Attitudes

This study extends the boundary conditions of mediated contact theory by (a) differentiating between mediated contact quantity and quality, (b) examining whether mediated contact exerts effects above and beyond direct contact, and (c) offering causal and generalizable evidence on the effects of exposure to numerous individual outgroup members in news media. We match individual‐level data from a representative panel survey with data on the amount of coverage about members from two outgroups and with the results from validated sentiment analysis. Mediated contact, and especially its quantity, improved outgroup attitudes independently of direct contact. These findings emerged for both outgroups and across two outcome measures.     

指挥自动化系统中的群决策支持模式研究

在群决策支持理论的基础上，根据军队指挥体系的特点，突出了权力因素对作战决策的影响，提出了基于权力因素的军队指挥自动化系统群决策支持模式：无权力裁决模式、有权力互补裁决模式、有权力冲突裁决模式和综合模式．并针对每种模式的结构和关键技术进行了论述，对指挥自动化群决策支持系统提供了理论指导．     

信息高速公路上的安全问题

首先介绍了信息高速公路的概貌,并指出了信息高速公路将面临的威胁和攻击,接着说明了信息高速公路应当具备的基本安全特性以及实现这些特性可以采取的措施,最后介绍了信息高速公路安全技术的开发动态。